This was originally posted on stephenspillane.com
I blogged recently about Predict 09’s Irish Predictions, but while looking through the country analysis I noticed something. Libertas will not win any seats in the European Parliament. In fact there is only vote share predicted for Ireland and Poland. In Ireland it is predicted at 7% and in Poland its predicted for 0% (+ the margin of error which is 4%). It is not predicted to win seats in Ireland or Poland. Let alone anywhere else!
This is dispite the fact that, that they are fielding candidates in 24 of the member states. Is Libertas that much of a waste of time?
Will this happen? I don’t know. Its highly unlikely that Libertas will pick up seats in Ireland (unless Sinnott joins them after the election), but they could pick up seats in the United Kingdom, where Labour and UKIP are predicted to be down.
Interesting times ahead for the Mr. Ganeley.